No 73% · Yes 28%. Smart money leans No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 68¢). Volume $43k, liquidity $35k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $779k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $238k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $218k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $200k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $186k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $160k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| iHaveBeenPwned | Yes | 1k |
| SuperTests | Yes | 1k |
| 0x77ea…25a0 | Yes | 1k |
| 881112 | Yes | 816 |
| 0x122c…fbed | Yes | 737 |
| 0x4e84ce | Yes | 415 |
| noblesse.oblige | Yes | 387 |
| rainbowlilies | Yes | 351 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 347 |
| 0xf956…896c | Yes | 345 |
| KrackenSruster | No | 2k |
| LLL2211 | No | 2k |
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