Yes 59% · No 41%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢). Volume $6.1k, liquidity $64k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $269k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $201k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $189k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $147k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $144k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $125k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $108k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $108k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Te0n2 | Yes | 620 |
| AlexWHLUX | Yes | 338 |
| StupidMonkeyyy | Yes | 203 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 185 |
| 0x77ea…25a0 | Yes | 171 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | Yes | 80 |
| Sheehave | Yes | 56 |
| duwrt | Yes | 50 |
| BigBoiBettin | Yes | 50 |
| whumpa | Yes | 40 |
| 0x279c…2b82 | No | 490 |
| unsecured7308 | No | 480 |
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