Who is the smart money on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?”?

Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 49¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?

Yes 54% · No 47%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 49¢). Volume $179k, liquidity $96k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

Yes
54%
No
47%
Volume
$179k
Liquidity
$96k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

5 wallets · 556 known shares

hopedieslastwhale
entry — · P&L $260k · win 59%
makemoney2025
entry 50¢ · P&L $22k · win 88%
whumpa
entry 54¢ · P&L -$9.2k · win 62%
Hugin-og-Munin
entry 55¢ · P&L $28k · win 50%
StoneMarble
entry — · P&L $33k · win 48%

No

3 wallets · 7,003 known shares

SirHarryOakes

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?” on Polymarket?: Yes 54% · No 47%, on $179k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?”?: Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 49¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?

live

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

53.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Benjamin Netanyahu 51% · Gadi Eizenkot 22% · Naftali Bennett 6%	$14.2M	$1.4M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$303k	$166k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$181k	$125k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$140k	$153k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 91% · No 10%	$127k	$84k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 100% · No 1%	$114k	$48k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 19% · No 82%	$80k	$299k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$72k	$668k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction