Who is the smart money on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?

Yes 65% · No 35%. Volume $72k, liquidity $92k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

Yes
65%
No
35%
Volume
$72k
Liquidity
$92k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 10 known shares

asdf112d
entry 65¢ · P&L $531 · win 44%

No

1 wallets · 100 known shares

arb-dog0
entry — · P&L -$10 · win 62%

More Geopolitics markets

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 97% · No 3% · 24h volume $287k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 96% · No 5% · 24h volume $193k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Yes 99% · No 1% · 24h volume $128k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes 91% · No 10% · 24h volume $98k
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Yes 65% · No 35% · 24h volume $82k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
No 65% · Yes 36% · 24h volume $79k

FAQ

What are the odds for “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?” on Polymarket?: Yes 65% · No 35%, on $72k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?

live

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

65%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity	Change24h
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$287k	$138k	3.2%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 96% · No 5%	$193k	$173k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$128k	$69k	0.2%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 91% · No 10%	$98k	$77k	0%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes 65% · No 35%	$82k	$32k	-0.7%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes 36% · No 65%	$79k	$99k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes 52% · No 48%	$65k	$78k	-2%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes 73% · No 28%	$50k	$74k	-1%

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction