No 85% · Yes 16%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 18¢). Volume $73k, liquidity $115k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
19 ranked wallets bought Yes at 18¢. It’s 16¢ now — −14% on paper.
Track all 19 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 9% · No 92% | $284k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $226k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $167k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $148k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $137k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 33% · No 67% | $136k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $105k |
| Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $88k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Parz1vaI | Yes | 12k |
| 881112 | Yes | 6k |
| gambler13 | Yes | 5k |
| AiBird | Yes | 5k |
| Car | Yes | 3k |
| peterfromfamilyguy | Yes | 2k |
| 0xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 2k |
| sbel | Yes | 2k |
| Meatballsubs | Yes | 2k |
| i400 | Yes | 1k |
| anoin123 | No | 11k |
| balabalababalabala | No | 5k |
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