Cure won. Smart money backed SKillous (2 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $260. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 94% · Republican Party 6% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 25% | $3.1M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $2.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.5M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $992k |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $881k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Echo-Opis | Cure | $12.97 |
| smallwinbigloss | Cure | $3.53 |
| MarquisDeMott | Cure | $0.55 |
| TradingBoyy | SKillous | −$7.20 |
| WisHGemini | SKillous | −$4.65 |
| letsgo33 | SKillous | −$0.56 |
6 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $17; the 3 biggest losers gave up $12. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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