Scarlett won. Smart money backed Neeb (4 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $392. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Abdul El-Sayed 1% | $1.5M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 27% · Carlos Alcaraz 73% | $503k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Raphael Warnock 1% · Glenn Youngkin 0% | $494k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 31% | $439k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $400k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 83% | $398k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | T1 35% · Karmine Corp 66% | $375k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| aogu | Scarlett | $87.36 |
| 0xee22… | Scarlett | $33.27 |
| czc663 | Scarlett | $21.90 |
| daimneetishares | Scarlett | $12.74 |
| toptolokok | Scarlett | $4.88 |
| WisHGemini | Scarlett | $1.30 |
| smallwinbigloss | Neeb | −$69.31 |
| 0x3662… | Neeb | −$44 |
| lightling | Neeb | −$5.80 |
| b00k13 | Neeb | −$5.70 |
| Lumens | Neeb | −$4.88 |
| 0x0cca… | Neeb | −$2.08 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $161; the 6 biggest losers gave up $132. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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