No 95% · Yes 6%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 90¢). Volume $2.0k, liquidity $561. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $787k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $237k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $219k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $203k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $183k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $162k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 535 |
| Johnny-Worker | Yes | 160 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 130 |
| tradeo39 | Yes | 60 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | 20 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 3 |
| 0x7d7024 | Yes | 1 |
| Udonsan | No | 403 |
| 0x619d…b31c | No | 265 |
| Askeladd. | No | 200 |
| 0x3340…13c8 | No | 25 |
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