Geneve-Servette won. Smart money backed Biel (2 ranked wallets, average entry 47¢) and lost. Volume $982. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $2.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $1.2M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 95% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 4% | $573k |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | TheMongolz 26% · FURIA 75% | $553k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $513k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $498k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 14% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $490k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LeLynxMalynx | Geneve-Servette | $114.51 |
| HighKeyDegen | Geneve-Servette | $54.60 |
| eoneq | Geneve-Servette | $51 |
| stable-winner | Geneve-Servette | $7.35 |
| 0x28a6… | Geneve-Servette | $4.50 |
| arbtemis | Geneve-Servette | $4.16 |
| Meji41 | Biel | −$17.55 |
| AntiVaxxer | Biel | −$9.85 |
| zlSobrinho | Biel | −$7.58 |
| stable-winner | Biel | −$7.05 |
| dennn9 | Biel | −$5 |
| 0xb8b9… | Biel | −$5.00 |
14 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $236; the 8 biggest losers gave up $60. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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