What are the odds for “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?” on Polymarket?

No 58% · Yes 42%, on $448 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?

No 58% · Yes 42%. Volume $448, liquidity $692. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
58%
Yes
42%
Volume
$448
Liquidity
$692

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

More Markets markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?
No 98% · Yes 2% · 24h volume $33k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?
No 80% · Yes 21% · 24h volume $13k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?
No 97% · Yes 3% · 24h volume $12k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 74% · Yes 27% · 24h volume $12k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
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Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 95% · Yes 6% · 24h volume $12k

FAQ

What are the odds for “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?” on Polymarket?: No 58% · Yes 42%, on $448 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2?

live

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 2? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

58%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 32% · $2.0–$2.25T 22% · $1.5–$1.75T 17%	$140k	$182k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$33k	$40k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 23% · November 19 20% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 20%	$33k	$39k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 58% · Anthropic 42% · OpenAI 0%	$23k	$191k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 38% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 23% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$68k
Largest Company end of December 2026?	NVIDIA 56% · Alphabet 1% · Microsoft 0%	$17k	$287k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	Yes 21% · No 80%	$13k	$31k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$12k	$63k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 29¢ask 55¢spread 26¢mid 42¢

SizeBid

AskSize

2529¢

55¢100

2228¢

62¢900

2323¢

93¢5

6622¢

98¢44

20021¢

99¢10k

10020¢

90012¢

52¢

831¢

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
PippiTrader	Yes	428	32¢	$131.42	$72k
jeev	No	403			−$3k
a5533	No	25			−$9k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$8k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$7k
3Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$2k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$1k
6Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?$1k
7Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$1k
8Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1k
9Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
10Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$953.61