Economics · Markets · live

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on November 2?

No 89% · Yes 12%. Volume $437, liquidity $107. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
89%
Yes
12%
Volume
$437
Liquidity
$107

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on November 2?

live

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on November 2? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

88.5%

No

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 19%	$64k	$211k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 45%	$36k	$147k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 25% · November 19 18% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 17%	$29k	$33k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$25k	$37k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 18% · No 83%	$17k	$81k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$14k	$59k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$94k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes 7% · No 93%	$12k	$49k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 9¢ask 14¢spread 5¢mid 11.5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

209¢

14¢16

204¢

15¢50

123¢

16¢20

9402¢

45¢14

471¢

91¢22

92¢5

99¢114

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
PippiTrader	Yes	397	$72k
jeev	No	356	−$3k
Haradwaith	No	20	−$421k
a5533	No	20	−$8k
LifeChangingOpportunity	No	1	−$16k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$4k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
3Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$4k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?$2k
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
8Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$799.54
9Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948
10Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$592.65

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FAQ

What are the odds for “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on November 2?” on Polymarket?: No 89% · Yes 12%, on $437 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on November 2?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

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