What are the odds for “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on November 2?” on Polymarket?

No 98% · Yes 2%, on $575 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on November 2?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on November 2?

No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $575, liquidity $104. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
98%
Yes
2%
Volume
$575
Liquidity
$104

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

No

1 wallets · 10 known shares

chaosj88
entry — · all-time +$23k · win 83%

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on November 2?” on Polymarket?: No 98% · Yes 2%, on $575 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on November 2?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on November 2?

live

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on November 2? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.2%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No10100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 30% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18%	$97k	$193k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 22% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 18%	$30k	$27k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 53% · Anthropic 46%	$29k	$72k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$26k	$46k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 24% · 1.25T–1.5T 14%	$22k	$77k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$13k	$113k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 17% · No 84%	$13k	$104k
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes 5% · No 95%	$12k	$47k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1¢ask 2.6¢spread 1.6¢mid 1.8¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1.5k1¢

2.6¢5

50.3¢

11¢10

9000.1¢

11¢7

13¢15

13¢10

71¢7

71¢5

91¢64

91¢40

91¢8

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
wrongdirection	Yes	247	$1k
sqsb	Yes	110	$691.68
a5533	Yes	20	−$8k
triklozoid	Yes	20	$8k
.Menthe	Yes	12	$4k
myfrenda	Yes	10	$367.55
TENETENET	Yes	10	$6k
E23Lowriajksb9182912-as-q	Yes	7	$294.79
0x553324	Yes	5	$8k
bjprolo	Yes	5	$13k
olegs	No	363	−$30k
momo-0916	No	42	−$3k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$5k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$5k
3Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$4k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
6Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2k
7Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$799.54
8Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$948