Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $33k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 13% · Joe Kent 1% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · James Talarico 3% | $2.0M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 80% · Pistons 20% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 2% · Celtics 98% | $837k |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks 76% · Wizards 24% | $835k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $779k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xdefe… | Up | $2k |
| Trader120 | Up | $748.63 |
| 0x06ce...c70b8b | Up | $503.49 |
| snorlaxxing | Up | $500.69 |
| eulersalpha | Up | $226.54 |
| wagonwheel | Down | $137.77 |
| Zeke2026 | Up | $76.99 |
| baummark1 | Up | $72.41 |
| hwidelance | Up | $67.23 |
| kodeoed | Up | $63.50 |
| hermesss123 | Up | $39.68 |
| ytho | Down | $17.33 |
70 wallets held a position at the close. The 36 biggest winners took $5.0k; the 34 biggest losers gave up $5.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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