No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $1.4M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 8% · IA, KS 8% | $4.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $2.0M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 30% | $2.0M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $739k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $395k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ScarletRot | No | $6k |
| MegaKong | No | $510.19 |
| h0wi3 | No | $334.01 |
| willis1111 | No | $192.70 |
| dumberTHANdumb | Yes | $173.00 |
| klnr11 | No | $158.75 |
| kysmaybe | No | $139.89 |
| pusseh | No | $113 |
| laflamablanca | No | $111.31 |
| 0x82f6… | No | $90.00 |
| Choroo | No | $88.57 |
| Sapphirus | No | $79.22 |
169 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $8.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $42k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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