Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 36¢) and lost. Volume $356k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
peterfromfamilyguy took +$3.3k on Yes from 73¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.4k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Donald Trump 1% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump Jr. 0% | $50k |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $48k |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $47k |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 33% · No 68% | $46k |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $33k |
| Next leader out of power before 2027? | None before 2027 57% · Netanyahu - Israel PM 30% · Sánchez - Spanish PM 4% | $29k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $24k |
| Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? | China 88% · No meeting by December 31 11% · United States 1% | $23k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| peterfromfamilyguy | Yes | $3k |
| AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee | Yes | $1k |
| azon7 | Yes | $1k |
| RegMonkey | Yes | $357.77 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | $289.68 |
| thebam | Yes | $280.78 |
| forever123 | Yes | $246.26 |
| steevo | Yes | $218.02 |
| Bloodwyrm | Yes | $213.47 |
| wisechinaman | Yes | $203.03 |
| 0xc214… | Yes | $176.40 |
| wubddh | Yes | $170.40 |
1,873 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $11k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $12k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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