No 79% · Yes 21%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢). Volume $15k, liquidity $32k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
7 ranked wallets bought Yes at 25¢. It’s 21¢ now — −17% on paper.
Track all 7 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 9% · No 92% | $282k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $234k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $162k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $151k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $136k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 33% · No 67% | $126k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $104k |
| Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $88k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| paddaa | Yes | 4k |
| groth | Yes | 2k |
| 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | 537 |
| GodRama | Yes | 496 |
| CT-test | Yes | 431 |
| badatthis | Yes | 405 |
| rocky42023 | Yes | 300 |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 277 |
| Porx | Yes | 200 |
| cd30gfu530p0 | Yes | 196 |
| anoin123 | No | 5k |
| 0xecb1d3 | No | 2k |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.