No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢). Volume $102k, liquidity $53k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $689k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $232k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $188k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $186k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $181k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $155k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $131k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| asdf6789 | Yes | 21k |
| Contestable-Parfait | Yes | 15k |
| paddaa | Yes | 5k |
| 0x557a…3d56 | Yes | 4k |
| NoSteinNoGate | Yes | 3k |
| mousetrap301 | Yes | 2k |
| rewardbots | Yes | 2k |
| fiter | Yes | 1k |
| planktonXD | Yes | 918 |
| melonmanm | Yes | 750 |
| Ornicar | No | 36k |
| fgydusggb | No | 6k |
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