No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢) and lost. Volume $2.9M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 31% · IA 12% · IA, KS 6% | $10.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $7.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 21% · Republicans Sweep 4% | $6.1M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 25% | $4.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $3.9M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 72% · David Jolly (D) 29% | $1.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 76% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.9M |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Top Esports 26% · Invictus Gaming 74% | $1.6M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ZeZeZe | No | $12k |
| xasayarrr | No | $6k |
| OddsOverlord | No | $5k |
| HNIC | No | $2k |
| 48MGX75VLQ | No | $1k |
| 0x5b6f… | No | $1k |
| sigh | No | $954.95 |
| Cbarbhwux | Yes | $658.44 |
| leitingjie | No | $653.58 |
| skylove | No | $642.09 |
| ChainsawVasectomy | No | $612.29 |
| Belic | No | $606.38 |
992 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $44k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $44k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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