No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 7¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $796k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $234k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $198k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $197k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $196k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $194k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $178k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $167k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlueOrchid | Yes | 514k |
| SVN27 | Yes | 161k |
| Jonathan2013 | Yes | 159k |
| 0x685f…bcc3 | Yes | 124k |
| flydartball | Yes | 112k |
| FelippeBarcelos | Yes | 67k |
| kjhsdfs333 | Yes | 57k |
| 123z | Yes | 56k |
| Bricker37483748 | Yes | 56k |
| Bandolle | Yes | 48k |
| HumphreyC | No | 300 |
| 0x101be2 | No | 108 |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.