Yes 51% · No 49%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 61¢). Volume $994, liquidity $77. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $778k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $232k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $220k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $203k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $184k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $162k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 171 |
| anon332 | Yes | 40 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 15 |
| toothandnail | Yes | 6 |
| ogi250 | Yes | 4 |
| 0x28a665 | Yes | 1 |
| Carabao | Yes | 0 |
| pupka-zalupka | Yes | 0 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 114 |
| Anjun | No | 33 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 20 |
| 0x7c14…5783 | No | 20 |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.