No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
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| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $187k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $152k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $133k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $128k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $127k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $102k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $90k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $70k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wan123 | Yes | 552k |
| AllByMyseIf | Yes | 297k |
| MCHundo111 | Yes | 201k |
| surf | Yes | 169k |
| AslanTrader | Yes | 157k |
| 3.3.3 | Yes | 108k |
| 0x12ee…780a | Yes | 93k |
| b324u | Yes | 85k |
| OmniscientCapital | Yes | 70k |
| Aaave2c | Yes | 68k |
| quinnessential | No | 800 |
| Kroll703 | No | 461 |