No won. Smart money backed Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢) and lost. Volume $775k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $431k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $297k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $228k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 5% | $194k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $152k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $142k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $137k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $127k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hugecaulk | No | $9k |
| 881112 | No | $6k |
| tsekinming01 | No | $5k |
| suraxy | No | $2k |
| Discombobulator7 | No | $2k |
| congoterrier | No | $1k |
| 38327832383823 | No | $1k |
| 0xc1db… | No | $1k |
| Arielbot2828 | No | $1k |
| 0x77df… | No | $1k |
| 0x9794… | No | $1k |
| JsonStatham | No | $865.72 |
419 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $44k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $33k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.