No 69% · Yes 32%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢). Volume $102k, liquidity $75k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Side | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026? | SELL | No |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026? | SELL | No |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $457k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $294k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $226k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 5% | $196k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $158k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $152k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $137k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $123k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf559…f462 | Yes | 16k |
| notimeforcaution | Yes | 13k |
| Car | Yes | 9k |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | Yes | 5k |
| FrogCharts | Yes | 3k |
| BunCaCham | Yes | 1k |
| 0xrandd8 | Yes | 1k |
| MickyMauldib | Yes | 1k |
| chicanery. | Yes | 1k |
| DrOetker | Yes | 417 |
| classified | No | 19k |
| widheji | No | 8k |
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