No 58% · Yes 42%. Smart money leans No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 58¢). Volume $94k, liquidity $33k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Side | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026? | SELL | No |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $655k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $235k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $185k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $184k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $180k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $151k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $131k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf559…f462 | Yes | 23k |
| notimeforcaution | Yes | 10k |
| anoin123 | Yes | 8k |
| suraxy | Yes | 4k |
| BigMackyG | Yes | 3k |
| WEN-ALPHA | Yes | 1k |
| KimJonEn | Yes | 1k |
| 0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d | Yes | 1k |
| lissartter | Yes | 981 |
| plm011 | Yes | 819 |
| paddaa | No | 19k |
| classified | No | 6k |
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