Yes 92% · No 9%. Smart money leans Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 90¢). Volume $41k, liquidity $27k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Side | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $766k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $250k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $204k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $198k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $174k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $173k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $162k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ayz662 | Yes | 6k |
| Belgaron | Yes | 5k |
| maskmetaluck | Yes | 3k |
| GOLADS96 | Yes | 2k |
| StarMaster | Yes | 2k |
| notimeforcaution | Yes | 2k |
| morito181 | Yes | 2k |
| Jest55 | Yes | 2k |
| suntori | Yes | 1k |
| RUDY2323 | Yes | 1k |
| classified | No | 10k |
| Sofiamas | No | 8k |
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