Yes 82% · No 19%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 81¢). Volume $34k, liquidity $27k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Side | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | BUY | Yes |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $779k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $238k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $218k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $200k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $186k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $160k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| morito181 | Yes | 5k |
| notimeforcaution | Yes | 2k |
| Belgaron | Yes | 2k |
| classified | Yes | 2k |
| syrvasov | Yes | 769 |
| InterpidDeLux | Yes | 618 |
| AlAhmeda | Yes | 500 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 400 |
| anoin123 | Yes | 375 |
| didot | Yes | 200 |
| paddaa | No | 3k |
| MEPP | No | 2k |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.