Yes won. Smart money backed No (10 ranked wallets, average entry 28¢) and lost. Volume $14.4M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $268k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $240k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $207k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $205k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 76% · No 24% | $190k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 9% · No 92% | $169k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $149k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $113k |
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