Yes 81% · No 20%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 75¢). Volume $6.1k, liquidity $3.3k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $252k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $252k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 78% · No 23% | $248k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $156k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $155k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $142k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 99% · No 2% | $110k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $100k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pIebe | Yes | 3k |
| paddaa | Yes | 453 |
| ChinaRed | Yes | 284 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 45 |
| CT-test | Yes | 44 |
| roman-16 | Yes | 41 |
| Isekai | Yes | 40 |
| televisionloud | Yes | 35 |
| Udonsan | Yes | 30 |
| 0opj4kuu4xb2 | Yes | 16 |
| BigScience | No | 2k |
| rainbowlilies | No | 800 |
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