Yes 70% · No 31%. Volume $584. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $52k |
| AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group F Winner | Japan 3% · Thailand 2% · Indonesia 2% | $20k |
| AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group B Winner | Jordan 14% · Uzbekistan 3% | $14k |
| Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30? | 6.00 ft or more 80% · 5.00 to 5.99 ft 15% · 4.00 to 4.99 ft 4% | $12k |
| Will Saudi Arabia win Group A at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $10k |
| Will Australia win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $7k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $6k |
| OpenRouter token usage week of November 2? | 205T+ 88% · 195-205T 9% · 185-195T 4% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| UpTheStairs | Yes | $10.15 |
| 0x4d39… | Yes | $1.32 |
| HarpoonSignals | Yes | $0.65 |
| 0x57c8… | No | −$14.60 |
| 0x1de0… | No | −$12.60 |
| UpTheStairs | No | −$8.20 |
| journeymanfinalboss | No | −$6.60 |
| cacato | No | −$6.15 |
| monoclith | No | −$2.90 |
| crescendolls | Yes | −$1.50 |
| magicportland | No | −$0.72 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | −$0.60 |
13 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $12; the 10 biggest losers gave up $54. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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