Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?

No 94% · Yes 6%. Volume $1.7k, liquidity $204. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
94%
Yes
6%
Volume
$1.7k
Liquidity
$204

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 194 known shares

shiifoowhale
entry 9¢ · all-time +$60k · win 45%

No

1 wallets · 6 known shares

0x7c14…5783
entry 62¢ · all-time −$27k · win 43%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?” on Polymarket?: No 94% · Yes 6%, on $1.7k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?

live

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between Octob… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

94%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes19497%
No63%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$174k	$75k	-1.7%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$150k	$53k	0.9%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes 72% · No 28%	$149k	$103k	0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$147k	$320k	1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 6% · No 95%	$130k	$494k	0%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 93% · No 7%	$118k	$59k	1.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$102k	$45k	2.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 8% · No 93%	$80k	$36k	-2%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 3¢ask 9¢spread 6¢mid 6¢

SizeBid

AskSize

4933¢

9¢30

1942¢

10¢18

3391¢

11¢20

43¢20

44¢40

48¢40

69¢5

70¢40

81¢40

82¢240

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	214	$193k
shiifoo	Yes	194	$60k
mustbethewater	Yes	40	$72k
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	32	−$339k
PPMT	Yes	30	$18k
LornaPredicts	Yes	28	$15k
ragutwo	Yes	27	$6k
tradeo39	Yes	20	−$1k
a5533	Yes	20	−$9k
vozomnil	Yes	18	$7k
0xa5ef39	No	620	$0
cigarettes	No	7	−$12k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$18k