No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $181k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $497k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 91% · No 9% | $342k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $325k |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $204k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $181k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 35% · No 65% | $131k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $102k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $101k |
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