Who is the smart money on “Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · live

Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Volume $1.0M, liquidity $1.8M. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$1.0M
Liquidity
$1.8M

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

4 wallets · 15,067 known shares

FreeCityIndividualwhale
entry — · all-time +$63k · win 52%
GayPridewhale
entry — · all-time +$658k · win 59%
Niromero
entry 0¢ · all-time +$10k · win 11%
moon-k58-lad
entry — · all-time −$108k · win 39%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Elections markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $1.0M of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

live

Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes15k100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Elections markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	None 23% · IA, KS 13% · IA 11%	$6.5M	$56.0M
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Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6%	$1.7M	$15.6M
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 5%	$873k	$10.3M
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Pete Ricketts (R) 74% · Independent 26%	$778k	$450k
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30%	$595k	$2.3M
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28%	$516k	$6.8M
Next French Presidential Election	David Lisnard 18% · Christine Lagarde 6%	$432k	$335k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA	Yes	641k	$1.9M
petanimal	Yes	209k	$153k
smoltrader	Yes	163k	$74k
BabyGroot	Yes	152k	$60k
AnonymousUsername	Yes	142k	$551k
0x824aa9	Yes	125k	−$162.75
J-E-R	Yes	113k	$258k
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0	Yes	107k	$184k
JamesAltucher	Yes	102k	$52k
DonKarabas	Yes	100k	$20k
0xa5ef39	No	3.1M	$0
4026	No	21	−$938.26

Smart-money conviction · Elections

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$123k
2Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$135k
3Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$45k
4Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$47k
5Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$23k
6Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$15k
7Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$24k
8Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$20k
9Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?$9k
102026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$12k