No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 99¢) and lost. Volume $3.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 3% | $25k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 67% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 12% | $24k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 55% · November 11 13% · November 9 4% | $13k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $13k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 76% · No 24% | $9k |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $8k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 71% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 7% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Mysaria | No | $7.26 |
| nibblemaxxing | No | $7.20 |
| molodoyy | No | $6.42 |
| merod | No | $4.20 |
| chaosj88 | Yes | $3.30 |
| IUSEBOT | No | $2.40 |
| 0x21ef… | No | $2.23 |
| dgfd76 | No | $1.80 |
| 0xeb1d… | No | $1.36 |
| haveagoodday | No | $0.73 |
| 0x047b… | No | $0.61 |
| lakatosnapoleon | No | $0.51 |
19 wallets held a position at the close. The 13 biggest winners took $39; the 6 biggest losers gave up $9. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.