Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 7¢) and lost. Volume $53k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
182 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.8k; the 28 biggest losers gave up $470. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.75–$2.0T 30% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18% | $93k |
| Anthropic IPO Date | November 20 22% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 17% | $31k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 53% · Anthropic 47% | $29k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $27k |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap | 1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 26% · 1.25T–1.5T 14% | $22k |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $13k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $13k |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| VibeyQuant | Yes | $616.91 |
| zjavax2 | Yes | $161.11 |
| DLM001 | Yes | $140 |
| Blurry-Ball | Yes | $134.57 |
| Cylindrical-Credenza-Sill | Yes | $128.11 |
| Vipine | Yes | $95.01 |
| dlbbbdbdbdblw | Yes | $93.65 |
| Falcon1-444 | Yes | $92.79 |
| Tonymountaina | Yes | $86.47 |
| 0x6284… | Yes | $85.03 |
| Shijiebeiii | Yes | $78.08 |
| opensssaz | No | $77.07 |