No won. Volume $24k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
manbo3 took +$2 on No from 99¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.25–$1.5T 36% · $1.5–$1.75T 26% · $1.75–$2.0T 15% | $179k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 88% · No 13% | $74k |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes 9% · No 91% | $50k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $48k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 87% · Anthropic 11% | $47k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $43k |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $200 in November? | Yes 68% · No 33% | $35k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $29k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| manbo3 | No | $1.76 |
| merod | No | $1.31 |
| Hourglass | No | $0.87 |
| Lukepreston | Yes | −$1 |
| 0x6243… | Yes | −$1 |
5 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $4; the 2 biggest losers gave up $2. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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