What are the odds for “Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?” on Polymarket?

No 98% · Yes 2%, on $4.1k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Macro · live

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?

No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $4.1k, liquidity $3.9k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
98%
Yes
2%
Volume
$4.1k
Liquidity
$3.9k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

4 wallets · 49 known shares

lpgb
entry — · all-time +$37k · win 35%
ddadsf
entry — · all-time +$289 · win 50%
sadfsadf
entry 3¢ · all-time +$215 · win 50%
e46m3whale
entry — · all-time +$958k · win 61%

No

2 wallets · 774 known shares

Stonktraderwhale
entry 90¢ · all-time +$98k · win 82%

More Macro markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?” on Polymarket?: No 98% · Yes 2%, on $4.1k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Macro Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October?

live

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.4%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No77494%
Yes496%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Macro markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes 5% · No 95%	$10k	$46k	-0.5%
US GDP growth in Q4 2026?	≥4.0% 22% · 3.5% to 4.0% 20% · <1.5% 18%	$5k	$5k
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?	$403K - $407K 47% · $407K - $411K 37% · $411K - $415K 8%	$5k	$4k
2026 World GDP Growth	3.1% 52% · 3.2% 20% · 3.0% 13%	$4k	$5k
Gas prices on November 1?	$4.1700-4.1799 77% · $4.1600-4.1699 33% · $4.2000+ 1%	$3k	$3k
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?	Yes 51% · No 49%	$2k	$770.24	-13.5%
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$2k	$18k	-0.1%
October Inflation US - Annual	3.7% 91% · 3.8% 5%	$2k	$12k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1.2¢ask 2¢spread 0.8¢mid 1.6¢

SizeBid

AskSize

331.2¢

2¢107

2541.1¢

2.1¢122

2.0k1¢

2.3¢223

250.4¢

2.4¢108

2070.3¢

2.8¢60

7150.2¢

4.4¢272

5.7k0.1¢

4.5¢45

4.6¢450

6¢50

8.7¢100

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
tgsve	Yes	1k	9¢	$15.91	−$59.39
CarlosPhi	Yes	442	3¢	$12	−$99.09
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	394			$193k
Haradwaith	Yes	228			−$421k
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	123	1¢	$0.85	$23k
0xc48c…f469	Yes	106	3¢	$3	−$144.85
crossFiter	Yes	102			$543.56
planktonXD	Yes	89			$140k
ghorrock	Yes	89			$1k
zeitfi-vault-v2	Yes	40	2¢	$0.34	$2k
0xa5ef39	No	2k			$0
Stonktrader	No	760	90¢	$683.82	$98k

Smart-money conviction · Macro

→ all categories · none in Macro right now

Smart-money conviction

1Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5$130k
2Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$145k
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4Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-10-31?$59k
5Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$66k
6Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)$46k
7FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: FC Barcelona 2nd Half O/U 0.5$50k
8Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$49k
9Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)$51k
10Trail Blazers vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5$31k