No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
16 ranked wallets bought Yes at 14¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 16 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $270k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $241k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $148k |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Yes 32% · No 69% | $84k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $76k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 36% · No 64% | $70k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $61k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $60k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x1caa…46a0 | Yes | 50k |
| wan123 | Yes | 30k |
| 0x4d8a…548c | Yes | 27k |
| Cassiopeian | Yes | 25k |
| 0x1e81…5599 | Yes | 25k |
| oggems | Yes | 20k |
| John475 | Yes | 16k |
| Shmuela | Yes | 12k |
| 0x0c22…d8cc | Yes | 12k |
| wecameforfun | Yes | 11k |
| nde-mac | No | 300 |
| 0xba1a06 | No | 40 |
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