Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Tech & Science · AI · resolved

Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?

No won. Volume $15k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Winner
No
Smart money
no ranked wallets
Volume
$15k
Closed
Nov 1, 2026

See who really won.Every wallet on this market by name — fills, entries and what each one took home — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

Smart wallets

Who held each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 423 known shares

X10X10X10
entry — · all-time +$46k · win 50%
Fihdrzgdd
entry — · all-time −$21k · win 45%
0x462996
entry — · all-time −$10k · win 67%

Nowon

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.

More AI markets

FAQ

Who won “Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?” on Polymarket?: No won; it closed Nov 1, 2026, on $15k of volume. The odds widget charts the path to the close.
Who won the most on “Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?”?: Winners and losers appear once Polynyx has settled every position from on-chain fills, usually within the hour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?

live

Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI la… · odds to the close

Market & odds history

Result

Market & odds history

100%

No · resolved

Smart money by side · shares at the close

Smart money on a market

Yes423100%

Top AI wallets · 30-day P&L

Trader leaderboard

Wallet	P&L	30d P&L	ROI	Win rate	Volume
mintblade	$9.2M	$9.2M	52%	100%	$17.8M
fishalive	$9.1M	$9.1M	68.2%	100%	$13.3M
frostrizz	$8.9M	$8.9M	38.7%	83.3%	$23.1M
GRIMDRIP	$7.6M	$7.6M	55.9%	100%	$13.6M
joseph00677	$5.6M	$7.2M	11.9%	43.5%	$47.1M
muchobliged	$2.2M	$7.1M	6.9%	71.4%	$31.1M
endlessFate	$7.4M	$4.7M	28.2%	66.7%	$26.3M
Inaccuratestake	$4.0M	$3.9M	14.6%	74.2%	$27.2M

AI markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6%	$53k	$593k
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 62% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 2%	$36k	$63k
When will Gemini Carbon be released?	November 9–November 15 67% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 23–November 29 9%	$23k	$14k
Gemini Carbon released on...?	November 11 35% · November 10 26% · No release by November 30 9%	$14k	$11k
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes 7% · No 94%	$13k	$17k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes 92% · No 9%	$10k	$13k
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 78% · No 22%	$10k	$10k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 61% · No 39%	$8k	$5k

Winners & losers · at the close

Winners & losers (settled)

Nothing settled yet — winners and losers appear once the market resolves.

Smart-money conviction · AI

Smart-money conviction

1Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?$3k
2Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?$2k
3Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?$2k
4Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?$696.03
5Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?$658.72
6Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$506.89
7Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?$363.57
8Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$292.19
9Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?$173
10Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$320.96