Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 26¢) and lost. Volume $1.0M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Popopolly took +$5.8k on Yes from 85¢; the biggest loser gave up $3.8k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 21% · OpenAI 3% | $41k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 82% · November 16–November 22 17% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 64% · Anthropic 31% · OpenAI 4% | $13k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $9k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 44% · November 11 24% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Popopolly | Yes | $6k |
| qwersd | Yes | $3k |
| 0xe38e… | Yes | $2k |
| zee3617 | Yes | $2k |
| eightpenguins | Yes | $1k |
| MoonLambo1205 | Yes | $1k |
| cmarx | Yes | $913.38 |
| Rumpelstiltskin | Yes | $792.28 |
| Knowyourball | Yes | $741.93 |
| yanping | Yes | $539.97 |
| SteveBlame | Yes | $538.01 |
| rewardbots | Yes | $478.80 |
1,124 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $29k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $20k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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