Who is the smart money on “Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO?

No 91% · Yes 9%. Volume $134, liquidity $702. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
91%
Yes
9%
Volume
$134
Liquidity
$702

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 8 known shares

lpgb
entry 92¢ · all-time +$37k · win 35%

No

1 wallets · 12 known shares

SmartBoyBilly
entry 77¢ · all-time −$10k · win 50%

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO?” on Polymarket?: No 91% · Yes 9%, on $134 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO?

live

Will Anthropic sell less than 4% of its shares in its IPO? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

91%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No1260%
Yes840%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 22% · $1.5–$1.75T 16%	$148k	$180k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$33k	$40k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 24% · November 19 20% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 20%	$33k	$34k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 58% · Anthropic 42% · OpenAI 0%	$25k	$192k
Largest Company end of December 2026?	NVIDIA 55% · Alphabet 1% · Microsoft 0%	$19k	$280k
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap	1.5T+ 38% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 23% · 750B–1T 4%	$17k	$49k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$14k	$60k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	Yes 20% · No 81%	$13k	$29k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 8¢ask 10¢spread 2¢mid 9¢

SizeBid

AskSize

428¢

10¢44

527¢

11¢95

1206¢

12¢20

3002¢

15¢20

2001¢

17¢8

26¢9

27¢20

29¢20

33¢20

41¢30

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	55	$193k
PPMT	Yes	24	$18k
GuyFromTinder	Yes	20	−$99k
Pitosyflautas	Yes	20	−$318.26
lpgb	Yes	8	$37k
0xa5ef39	No	59	$0
matgul	No	23	−$76.42
cigarettes	No	20	−$12k
Carabao	No	13	−$2k
SmartBoyBilly	No	12	−$10k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$8k
2Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$7k
3Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$2k
4Will GameStop acquire eBay?$3k
5Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?$1k
6Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$1k
7Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?$1k
8Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$1k
9Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$1k
10Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$1k