No won. Smart money backed Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 62¢) and lost. Volume $100k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 19% · $1.5–$1.75T 19% | $56k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 54% · Anthropic 46% | $29k |
| Anthropic IPO Date | November 20 25% · November 19 18% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 17% | $27k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $25k |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $19k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $19k |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $16k |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $14k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Mysaria | No | $596.65 |
| Olcan | No | $143.30 |
| BridgeLake | No | $141.63 |
| merod | No | $120.35 |
| chivoexpiatorio | No | $71.86 |
| cedriss | Yes | $68.72 |
| HERO-KING | No | $64.77 |
| nibblemaxxing | No | $62.39 |
| burge146 | No | $60.20 |
| Maxpnlmaker | No | $55.96 |
| cfkwong888 | No | $51.08 |
| 0xe8c6… | No | $46.00 |
119 wallets held a position at the close. The 50 biggest winners took $1.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $7.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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