No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (13 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢). Volume $1.6M, liquidity $339k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of California Governor Election Winner →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $5.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.5M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 18% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Édouard Philippe 12% | $896k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 71% · Mike Rogers (R) 31% | $789k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $639k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $531k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $498k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| caviaro | Yes | 274k |
| debased | Yes | 23k |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 21k |
| dromedaryy | Yes | 16k |
| 0x4e2560 | Yes | 15k |
| e46m3 | Yes | 14k |
| donthackme | Yes | 13k |
| MaxEnt | Yes | 13k |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 13k |
| Lucerys | Yes | 11k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 550k |
| LBZero | No | 40 |
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