Yes 97% · No 3%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 44¢). Volume $5.9k, liquidity $633. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 6% | $29k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $21k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $20k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 61% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 12% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 17% · No release by November 30 10% · November 13 8% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yen4u | Yes | 936 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 527 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 444 |
| TraderBeas | Yes | 373 |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 233 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 50 |
| mapleggg | Yes | 20 |
| 0x3f9913 | Yes | 20 |
| pppnn | Yes | 20 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 20 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 1k |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 389 |
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