No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢) and lost. Volume $1.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
thursdays took +$13 on No from 97¢; the biggest loser gave up $17.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Core PCE MoM - October 2026 | 0.3% 81% · 0.4% 12% · 0.2% 5% | $7k |
| Core PCE YoY - October 2026 | 3.2% 62% · 3.3% 33% · 3.1% 5% | $5k |
| November Inflation US - Annual | 3.8% 35% · 3.7% 25% · 3.9% 20% | $4k |
| South Africa Annual Inflation 2026 | 4.7-5.0% 37% · >5.0% 28% · 4.4-4.7% 20% | $4k |
| November 2026 Unemployment Rate - Canada | 6.8% 27% · 6.6% 18% · 6.7% 17% | $3k |
| Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026 | ≤1.9% 64% · 2.0-2.4% 34% | $3k |
| Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)? | -0.3% to -0.1% 46% · <-0.3% 33% · 0.0% to 0.2% 10% | $3k |
| Brazil Annual Inflation 2026 | 5.00-5.49% 45% · 5.50-5.99% 22% · 6.50-6.99% 1% | $3k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| thursdays | No | $12.90 |
| 0xe025… | No | $8.83 |
| leo1213 | No | $2.60 |
| davhcc | No | $0.65 |
| Antony82 | Yes | −$17.05 |
| Betoherrera | Yes | −$1 |
| 0x7e6a… | No | −$0.88 |
| PPMT | Yes | −$0.65 |
| L2FLP | Yes | −$0.60 |
9 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $25; the 5 biggest losers gave up $20. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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