Yes 100% · No 0%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
12 ranked wallets bought No at 25¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 12 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $713.85 |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $564 |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? | <5 73% · 5-6 22% · 9-10 1% | $510.70 |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $388.36 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $352.55 |
| How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31? | 12-15 68% · 16-19 18% · <12 5% | $338.39 |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? | Yes 66% · No 34% | $306.40 |
| How many SpaceX launches in 2026? | 140-159 79% · 120-139 13% · 180-199 5% | $281.03 |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xbc5c…f44e | Yes | 781 |
| teo107 | Yes | 71 |
| IUYTGHJ012356 | Yes | 20 |
| 0x7c35…aecd | Yes | 14 |
| 0x73531f | Yes | 13 |
| 0xaeaa…d39a | Yes | 7 |
| gudangada | Yes | 3 |
| magneticresonance | Yes | 3 |
| 0xd541…13a9 | Yes | 2 |
| Stang9911 | Yes | 1 |
| nevet241 | No | 17k |
| John005 | No | 15k |
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