No 96% · Yes 4%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 86¢). Volume $174k, liquidity $11k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $223k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $205k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $193k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $183k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $149k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $148k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 98% · No 3% | $103k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 62% · No 38% | $91k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Perypery | Yes | 250 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 204 |
| okakokak | Yes | 111 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 101 |
| 9df | Yes | 65 |
| PPMT | Yes | 40 |
| 0xb65102 | Yes | 32 |
| amazingfrog | Yes | 28 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 28 |
| 0x41d6…608b | Yes | 25 |
| Krass | No | 289 |
| 0xbc30…59a3 | No | 110 |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.