No won. Volume $4.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
5 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $6; the 2 biggest losers gave up $5. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6% | $53k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 62% · Anthropic 33% · OpenAI 3% | $36k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 68% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 23–November 29 9% | $23k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 35% · November 10 26% · No release by November 30 9% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $13k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $10k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 80% · No 21% | $7k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 44% · November 9–November 15 21% · November 16–November 22 16% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Mysaria | No | $3.56 |
| GingerMcKenna | No | $1.74 |
| fastandfudurious | No | $1.04 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | −$2.75 |
| 80sdfs | Yes | −$2.49 |