Who is the smart money on “Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Tech & Science · AI · live

Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $2.3k, liquidity $2.6k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$2.3k
Liquidity
$2.6k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

4 wallets · 389 known shares

lpgb
entry — · all-time +$37k · win 35%
X10X10X10
entry 0¢ · all-time +$46k · win 50%
GingerMcKenna
entry — · all-time +$42k · win 52%
luciebot
entry — · all-time +$7.9k · win 50%

No

1 wallets · 5 known shares

Hugin-og-Munin
entry 97¢ · all-time +$28k · win 50%

More AI markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $2.3k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?

live

Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of Nov… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.1%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes38999%
No51%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

AI markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6%	$45k	$367k
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 62% · Anthropic 33% · OpenAI 2%	$33k	$45k
When will Gemini Carbon be released?	November 9–November 15 60% · November 16–November 22 16% · November 2–November 8 10%	$22k	$12k
Gemini Carbon released on...?	November 10 26% · November 11 23% · November 3 11%	$14k	$10k
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes 7% · No 93%	$14k	$18k
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 74% · No 26%	$9k	$8k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 67% · No 34%	$7k	$3k
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	Yes 74% · No 26%	$7k	$6k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.5¢ask 1.3¢spread 0.8¢mid 0.9¢

SizeBid

AskSize

4790.5¢

1.3¢15

1.4k0.4¢

1.4¢285

3.1k0.3¢

4.8¢150

2.8k0.2¢

4.9¢254

13k0.1¢

6.2¢30

6.3¢30

7.5¢45

7.6¢30

8.1¢40

8.2¢134

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
Wojtek	Yes	1k	1¢	$0.64	$55k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	595			$193k
0x553324	Yes	254			$8k
youtube-trader	Yes	243	1¢	$0.17	−$5k
lpgb	Yes	193			$37k
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.	Yes	150	1¢	$0.38	−$10.70
_test_i075_CAND_11b7	Yes	131			$1k
X10X10X10	Yes	100	0¢	$0.37	$46k
GingerMcKenna	Yes	91			$42k
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	Yes	56			−$80k
0xa5ef39	No	3k			$0
cigarettes	No	80			−$71k

Smart-money conviction · AI

Smart-money conviction

1Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?$3k
2Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?$843.58
3Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$1k
4Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?$363.57
5Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?$658.72
6Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?$258.40
7Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$292.19
8Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$320.96