No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 100¢). Volume $191k, liquidity $110k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 66% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 2–November 8 10% | $30k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $19k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 65% · Anthropic 29% · OpenAI 2% | $15k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $15k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $14k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 63% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 6% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 29% · November 10 20% · No release by November 30 10% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AnimalEater | Yes | 36k |
| OnYesYes | Yes | 36k |
| forgotmydinner | Yes | 20k |
| qing123 | Yes | 20k |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 8k |
| 0x2999…3898 | Yes | 7k |
| 0xb92b99 | Yes | 5k |
| ttyoo | Yes | 5k |
| TruongMyLan | Yes | 4k |
| francesco1508 | Yes | 4k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 162k |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 98 |
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.
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