No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢). Volume $2.6k, liquidity $1.6k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 72% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 23–November 29 6% | $26k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 69% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $18k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $15k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $15k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 62% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 9–November 15 9% | $11k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 70% · No 30% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wojtek | Yes | 1k |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 750 |
| 0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13 | Yes | 348 |
| 0x553324 | Yes | 133 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 126 |
| GingerMcKenna | Yes | 91 |
| lpgb | Yes | 79 |
| 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | Yes | 56 |
| SulkingCrypto | Yes | 24 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 3k |
| cigarettes | No | 80 |
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